14.2: Know the basic definitions and rules of probability
  1. Recognize when events are disjoint and when events are independent. Understand the difference, and that disjoint events cannot be independent.
  2. Be able to use facts about probability to determine whether an assignment of probabilities is legitimate. Each probability must be a number between 0 and 1, and the sum of all probabilities assigned to all possible outcomes must be 1.
  3. Know how to use the Complement Rule to make calculating probabilities simpler
  4. Know and be able to correctly use the terms "sample space", "disjoint events", and "independent events"

Assessment Ideas/Questions
  1. Provide an example of events that are disjoint (no overlap) and not disjoint (overlap)
  2. Calculate an unknown probability for a given set of outcomes
    1. Provide a range of possible probabilities for a given set of outcomes
    2. Complete a tree diagram
  3. Recognize/calculate probability for the situation of "at least one". (more in dealing with Binomial Probability a skill from Ch. 17)
  4. Define, clearly explain, and provide an example for the terms "sample space", "disjoint", and "independence"
  5. Create a sample space for an event/s
  6. Justify whether or not events are independent or not.

Lessons
Collect data - Ch. 14 & 15 Data Collection

  • Results will be published: Ch. 14 & 15 Data
    • Basic Probability calculation - (Skill 14.2)P(A), P(B)
    • P(A or B) - Conservative OR Liberal
    • P(A and B)
  • Disjoint vs. Non-Disjoint events
    • Conservative, Liberal, Moderate
    • Keep the Penny and Moderate

  • Know and be able to correctly use the terms "sample space", "disjoint events", and "independent events"
  • Create Venn diagrams - Liberal & Keep, Conservative & Abolish (Skill 14.3)
    • P(Liberal and Keep), P(Conservative and Abolish)
    • P(Liberal or Keep), P(Conservative or Abolish)

Slideshow - Introduction


Slideshow - Wrapup


Slideshow - Practice